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Pengaruh jumlah penduduk usia produktif, jumlah angkatan kerja produktif, tingkat inflasi, kurs rupiah, harga BBM industri dan tingkat suku bunga kredit terhadap jumlah pengangguran di Indonesia (kajian empiris terhadap kondisi makro-ekonomi Indonesia )

Jurnal Ekonomi, Volume X, Nomor 1, Januari 2006
Journal from JIPTUNMERPP / 2008-02-11 06:05:18
Oleh : Ira Murwenie, Faculty_of_Economics_-_Merdeka_University_Malang (briatmanto@yahoo.com)
Dibuat : 2006-01-01, dengan 0 file

Keyword : stagflation, aggregate demand and supply, unemployment, supply shock, okun’s law

The alarming impact of stagflation is the increase of unemployment. This is reasoneble as a typical recession is designated by a condition where the aggregate demand relatively decreases compared to the offer of aggregate supply. What happens to the unemployment rate during recession?
When the output decreases, a company needs less the cost of production. Therefore the decision to cut down of direct labour cost is the most popular choice made by the company in order to suppress the high cost production. This phenomenal economic condition has encouraged use to analyse and study it empirically whether recession (high inflation) aiways leads to the increase of unemployment whose economic characteristic differ from those of other countries. It is obviously not objectifve to think that all government’s policies “considered” the trigger of inflation is allegedly thought as the cause of increase of unemployment. As far as we are concerned, as we are observing rumours as developing among the economist and having been highlighted by the print and electronic media, those rumours have been supporting the theory of stagflation and its significant impact on the increase the number of unemployment without any deep ampiricall studies. Being in this computer and statistic, mocroeconomic forecast has made great progress. We hope that this research will encourage further on macroeconomic matters developing in Indonesia.

Deskripsi Alternatif :

The alarming impact of stagflation is the increase of unemployment. This is reasoneble as a typical recession is designated by a condition where the aggregate demand relatively decreases compared to the offer of aggregate supply. What happens to the unemployment rate during recession?
When the output decreases, a company needs less the cost of production. Therefore the decision to cut down of direct labour cost is the most popular choice made by the company in order to suppress the high cost production. This phenomenal economic condition has encouraged use to analyse and study it empirically whether recession (high inflation) aiways leads to the increase of unemployment whose economic characteristic differ from those of other countries. It is obviously not objectifve to think that all government’s policies “considered” the trigger of inflation is allegedly thought as the cause of increase of unemployment. As far as we are concerned, as we are observing rumours as developing among the economist and having been highlighted by the print and electronic media, those rumours have been supporting the theory of stagflation and its significant impact on the increase the number of unemployment without any deep ampiricall studies. Being in this computer and statistic, mocroeconomic forecast has made great progress. We hope that this research will encourage further on macroeconomic matters developing in Indonesia.

Copyrights : Copyright ? 2008 by Digital Library Universitas Merdeka Malang. Verbatim copying and distribution of this entire article is permitted by author in any medium, provided this notice is preserved.

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PropertiNilai Properti
ID PublisherJIPTUNMERPP
OrganisasiFaculty_of_Economics_-_Merdeka_University_Malang
Nama KontakDra. Wiwik Supriyanti, SS
AlamatJl. Terusan Halimun 11 B
KotaMalang
DaerahJawa Timur
NegaraIndonesia
Telepon0341-563504
Fax0341-563504
E-mail Administratorperpus@unmer.ac.id
E-mail CKOwsupriyanti@yahoo.com

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